Tooting their own horn
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- January
- 21
Here’s an excerpt from an “Updated Campaign Memo” from Mark Penn, Chief Strategist and Pollster, Hillary Clinton for President Exploratory Committee, blast emailed to the press today.
People are always asking, can Hillary Clinton win the presidency?
Of course she can. In many of the polls out today, she is already winning.
She has national ratings that are higher than the winning presidential candidates of the last two decades had on Election Day and beats or statistically ties the leading Republican presidential candidates in most recent polls. Today’s ABC/Washington Post poll shows Hillary Clinton leading John McCain by 5 points (50% to 45%), and she is the only Democrat who leads both John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. Yesterday’s Newsweek poll shows her competitive with McCain and Giuliani, while the last Newsweek poll had Hillary leading McCain by as much as 7 points.
The people who have come to know Hillary the best love her the most. Hillary won a huge victory in New York, with 67 percent of the vote, after getting 83 percent of the vote in the Democratic primary. In addition to her strong base in the city, she won over the highly Republican areas in upstate NY, where she has been strong since 2000, and went up 17 points this election in the Republican-leaning NYC suburbs. New Yorkers reaffirmed their support of her in her reelection, and she won 37 of the counties won by George Bush in the last election….
… Hillary Clinton is leading in the Democratic primary ballot among every key audience â€â€Å“ men, women, Democrat-leaning independents, mainline Democrats, liberal Democrats, moderate Democrats, blacks and whites. For example, Hillary has the support of 53% of African-Americans (compared with 27% for her closest competitor, Barack Obama) and 49% of women (compared with 18% for the second-place contender).
Of course, new polls are coming out every day showing one candidate up or another down, and up against these polls from national news sources, there are plenty of other polls out there with less positive numbers—like a Diageo poll or a Rasmussen poll—but the major news organization polls, taken before anyone announced, all showed her moving up in favorability and support, moving up in ways many pundits said was simply not possible….
This entry was posted
on Sunday, January 21st, 2007 at 7:22 pm by Liz Anderson.
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She may poll well know, but as the campaign begins her numbers will drop. Her record as a first lady (failed healthcare plan) NY Senator (none). She is running on her husbands name. Dont forget Whitewater..
the anti hillary group doesnt really understand how
good she and her husband are and how effective her
campaign organization is..unless she makes an unforced
error she will be the nominee..now the only issue for
republicans is who can beat her…and that is where it
gets a bit sticky…the country is against the war
but the leading candidates for the republican nomination
are for the presidents surge..my view is that unless
republicans nominate someone like chuck hagel, they
are going to forfeit the presidency to mrs clinton
McCain is pro war and pro surge and is losing momentum
by the hour…giuliani is to liberal for the republican
base even though he would be the best candidate to
defeat clinton..after that brownback, romney, huckaby
and the rest will get their clocks cleaned..
I wouldn’t say that Hillary is gonna run away with it unless she makes an “unforced error.” She is pretty far behind in Iowa and is tied in NH. I don’t care what the national polls say – at this point, most people are voting by name recognition. Likewise, if one of her opponents wins BOTH Iowa and NH, the race, historically speaking, is typically over.
I’m not saying Hillary has no shot, but I would go as far as saying Obama and Edwards have, at the very least, equal chances to secure the nomination.