McCain Leads Obama In Swing States, Poll Says
Bad news for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in a Quinnipiac Poll this morning.
The poll found that Obama trails Arizona Sen. John McCain, the likely Republican ca
ndidate, in Florida and Ohio.
Obama is six points ahead in Pennsylvania, though.
Yet Sen. Hillary Clinton wins handily in all three states over McCain, an argument for Clinton to stay in the race.
No one has won the presidency since since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states.
The poll found in Florida Clinton tops McCain 48-41 percent; McCain leads Obama 45– 41 percent;
In Ohio, Clinton beats McCain 48–41 percent; McCain tops Obama 44–40 percent. In Pennsylvania Clinton tops McCain 50–37 percent; Obama leads McCain 46 – 40 percent.
In the McCain-Obama matchups, 26 to 36 percent of Clinton supporters in each state say that if Obama is the nominee they would switch to the Republican in November, the poll found.
Only 10 to 18 percent of Obama supporters say they would defect to McCain if Clinton is the nominee.
“The numbers for Florida and Ohio are good news for Sen. John McCain and should be worrisome for Sen. Barack Obama,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
“That is especially true about Ohio, which decided the 2004 election. Ohio’s economy is worse than the rest of the country and the Republican brand there is in disrepute. McCain’s Buckeye lead may be a sign that nationally this may not be the easy Democratic walk to the White House that many expected.â€
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thats exactly the point I have been making for the last
few weeks….their are two kinds of “reluctant” democrats
as regards the Obama candidacy…the first kind are
lower income and therefore lesser educated white voters
in states like ohio….this may be more a cultural thing
ie they don’t like liberal elistists rather than a racial
thing,..but in either case as of now they are reluctant
the other group are older jewish voters in florida…
as opposed to younger more educated jewish professionals
who have no problem….the floridian jews are old school
pro israeli unionists who have been told by the runor
mill that obama is not sympathetic to Israel..they
make up 5% of votes in florida..so that is why
Obama work is cut out for him
Of course the big three states of FL, OH and PA are huge. But the electoral map is changing with a new SUSA poll showing Obama leading McCain 49-42% in VA. NC will also be very competitive for Obama. He also leads or is very close in several typically red mountain west states. The question is can Obama pill off enough of those states to counter losing OH and FL?
Answer—- no. McCain wins about 53-47 percent.
wahoo..we may see an election once again where the person
getting the most popular votes does not win….because
of close races in florida and ohio..and blowouts in
the larger electoral value states…
All of my close insiders of the National GOP, are praying that it is Barack Hussein Obama. That said,
Barack is nothing more then a “Motivational Speaker” who always reads off of the TelePrompTers.
Just TWO years ago this rookie was an Illinois “State Senator” doing what “State Senators” do best…...IE….....Baby Seat Laws, Give outs of Little League Trophies, New Stop Signs for the neighborhoods he represented and the Playground & park dedications. That is all he has done.
Obama has no experience in government, as he is the most liberal in the US Senate…It is naive to think he or anyone for that matter can turn around Washington, DC.
Count on the fact that come November, Red States become Bright Red, Purple States become Red….And don’t be surprised if some of the former Blue States come over to the GOP side.
While McCain is no Ronald Reagan or represents true core conservative values, on this given year against Barack Hussein Obama it will not even be close.
This will be yet another disappointment for the far left and the liberal media. Barack Hussein Obama losing against McCain will help form a more moderate National Democratic Party. This loss will once again prove that the Dems are out of touch with main stream America.
As Karl Rove said at a meeting I attended, ...”The dominate creed of American politics is right of center and conservative”
Expect every “red neck” who never voted in their lives to be voting this year. Expect every Republican on a golf course who never voted in years to run off the golf course this year to vote.
Jim Kelly – NY Conservative Campaigns
i’M RUNNIN OFF THE GOLF COURSE ALREADY JIM
And I’m the redneck running from my trailer headed with my keys to start the rusted-out ‘76 Camero. What’s a golf course?
The USA is not anywhere near as far left as Obama and those in control of the national Democrats are.
Obama is gonna melt like a snowman in July.
Jim, please referring to Barack Obama’s middle name. While I recognize it is his name, the emphasis on in his middle name is seen by some in a negative light. If you don’t want to listen to me, listen to Karl Rove.
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/rove_dont_hussein_obama_1.php
At a closed door meeting of GOP state executive directors in late January, Rove said the safest way to refer to Obama would be to use his honorific, “Sen. Obama.”
“The context was, you’re not going to stimatize this guy. You shouldn’t underestimate him,” one of the executive directors said. Rove said that the use of “Barack Hussein Obama” would perpetuate the notion that Republicans were bigoted and would hurt the party.
Jim, please referring to Barack Obama’s middle name. While I recognize it is his name, the emphasis on in his middle name is seen by some in a negative light. If you don’t want to listen to me, listen to Karl Rove.
From a Marc Ambinder Article
At a closed door meeting of GOP state executive directors in late January, Rove said the safest way to refer to Obama would be to use his honorific, “Sen. Obama.â€
“The context was, you’re not going to stimatize this guy. You shouldn’t underestimate him,†one of the executive directors said. Rove said that the use of “Barack Hussein Obama†would perpetuate the notion that Republicans were bigoted and would hurt the party.
I didn’t know Karl Rove walked on water, though he is a bright guy. Obama wants his wife out of bounds, Ayers, and a lot of other things. He does concede Wright is an issue, however. Obama is a WHINER. He also is an empty suit, full of rhetoric, but short on substance and much too far left to be elected in what is really a moderate America.
Rove does not “walk on water.” However, Jim does refer to a meeting that Rove spoke and appears to respect his opinion. I don’t see what is gained by emphasizing Obama’s middle name. You are entirely correct that his campaign does seem to have thin skin. However, Republicans are trying to win an election here and getting continually bad press by making an issue out of his middle name seems to serve little purpose in winning.
Jim your reference to Hussein is really ill advised
guys like me….secular as I am..really resent it
his name is not an indication of his policy
does the german name edelman…mean a nobleman
or a nazi…you are way off base and cut it out
Jim, it is now 2008. Obama was elected to the US Senate in 2004. Please, either adjust your calendar or your math. Thanks. Geez, if this is too hard for you, I’m worried about you being smart enough to even find your polling place in November.
Jim Kelly isn’t balancing the probabilities…whether or
not I am voting for Mccain..I realize that the democrat
even if his name is barack hussein obama..has a built
in head start…far more people identify withthe democratic
party than with the republican party…bush’s popularity
is at an historic low….the war is unpopular…McCain
has an age problem….and even though Florida may be
going for McCain as is Ohio, becuase of increased voter
registration in southern states by young voters and
african americans..barack might just be able to win
states like virginia, and colorado..so Jim its not
a “slam dunk”