Obama Has Big Lead In NY
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- August
- 7
A Quinnipiac poll today shows Barack Obama has a 57 percent to 36 percent lead over John McCain among New York voters, up seven points from a Quinnipiac poll last month.
The boost for Obama in New York contracts national polls that show he and McCain in a dead heat.
Obama, the poll shows, gets a boost in New York from African-American voters, women and young voters.
Obama gets a 60 percent favorability rating from New York voters, compared to 46 percent for McCain.
“In presidential politics, color New York State blue and throw away the crayons. Sen. Barack Obama’s overseas trip didn’t help him in other states where Quinnipiac University polls, but he moved up here,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Obama’s rise is good news for Democrats running for other offices in New York down the ticket. Democrats hope that a strong showing by Obama in New York will help their bid to win control of the state Senate, especially in districts with large African-American populations.
This entry was posted
on Thursday, August 7th, 2008 at 10:23 am by Joseph Spector.
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No surprise there if obama can’t win new york he might
as well hang it up…however a review of the state
polls indicates obama ahead in mich, fla, pa, and va
not a good sign for mccain
You know it, Ashley—
Since the end of WW II, only once has either political party held the White House longer than for two terms, from 1989- 1993, and that was thanks mainly to Reagan, and to Dukakis’ ineptitude.
Then again, no sitting US Senator has been elected president since 1960.
Some factors to consider in this year’s election:
Excepting Eisenhower, the last president elected with minimal experience (four years or less) as either Senator or Governor was Franklin Roosevelt.
In 1982, LA Mayor Tom Bradley, a great man for whom I once toiled, led Republican George Deukmejian in the polls until election day in the race for California Governor. As you know, Bradley lost. Romantic white liberals, lying to pollsters, said they’d vote for Bradley, then changed their minds at the polling place.
No incumbent party has won the presidency during a recession since 1956. (1972 was not a recessionary year.)
Here we are in the “post-racial” world. It will be interesting to see how the centrists decide New York’s vote in November. (I am voting for McCain.)
Let’s check these poll figures after November 6. Of course, Joe meant “contradicts,” not “contracts.”
You’re right Tim & Ashley,
While the polls and history may not be with us there are some promising signs out there—so one can hope.
There is a video out on YouTube titled The Vote Reaper. It should be mandatory that every voter out there watch it—including Republicans so they know how answer the Democrats’ claims on why Obama should be president.
These state by state polls should have Obama up by
lots more than he is…in fact the generic democrat
creams the generic Republican..so there is something
going on which is undercutting the ability of Obama to
open up a decisive and convincing lead.ie he has not
yet been able to make the sale…and the Republicans
are aiming at his celebrity status in order to make
the case that he “is not one of us” not because
of his race but because of his elitist leanings..
as david brooks pointed out in the times the other
day Obama has never appeared to fit into any
particular category..he has never stayed long enough
to become identified either as a state senator, a united
states senator, a law professor, etc…it appears
that he is driven by ambition withouth the requisite
“time served” in being a public servant…John McCain
on the other hand is a recognized entity in his own right
he is not a creature of any recent political movement
“move on .org” nor is he dependent on “the kid vote”
which may not even show up…so this race is close
and the McCain campaign will continue to focus on
lack of experience…lack of judgment, and lack of
identity…..bottom line is will voters be able
to put their trust in Obama..do they know what he
in face really stands for..and are they willing to
take that risk in a perilous time for the nation
both economically and in terms of national security