New Siena Poll Numbers
A new poll today showed state Senate Republicans’ hold on its majority evaporating in tight races in New York City and Buffalo with just days before voters head to the ballot boxes.
A Siena College poll shows that in a key Long Island race, Democratic challenger Brian Foley has a surprising 22-percentage-point lead against Republican Sen. Caesar Trunzo. In September, Trunzo, who at 82 is the oldest senator, had a six-percentage-point lead in a Siena poll.
In Buffalo, Democratic Sen. William Stackowski has erased a 13-percentage-point deficit last month and has taken a four-point lead against Republican Dennis Delano, the poll shows.
In a Queens race, Republican Sen. Serphin Maltese, who has spent a whopping $2 million on his race, remains deadlocked with Democrat Joseph Addabbo, who the poll shows with a 2-point lead that is within the survey’s margin of error.
The two races are among eight to 10 statewide that both parties deem critical to determining who controls the state Senate on Jan 1. Republicans hold a 31-29 seat lead and have held the majority for all but one of the last 70 years, in 1965.
Who control the Senate will have a significant impact on state policy and allocation of state resources, from whether the state pursues legalizing gay marriage to which areas of New York get the bulk of aid for economic development projects.
There was some good news for Republicans in the poll.
The GOP has taken a five-percentage-point lead in a critical, open seat in western New York with Republican Michael Ranzenhofer ahead of Democrat Joe Mesi. The seat stretches from the Buffalo suburbs and through Genesee County and is open due to the retirement of long-time Republican Sen. Mary Lou Rath.
And Republicans appear to be closing the gap in a northern New York seat with a heavy Republican enrollment advantage. After holding a 20-percentage-point lead in September, Democratic Sen. Darrel Aubertine’s edge has been cut to 11 points against Republican David Renzi.
In the final of six races polled by Siena Sunday, Long Island Sen. Kemp Hannon, a Republican, holds a commanding 26-point lead over Democrat Kristen McElroy in a district with roughly the same number of Republicans and Democrats.
Republicans and Democrats have spent an unprecedented $40 million during the two-year campaign cycle on trying to win control the Senate, campaign finance records show. Republicans have spent more, about $23 million compared to $18 million for Democrats.
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it appears that the republican majority in the senate may
be gone…trunzo is 22 points down…and maltese is losing
to adabo in queens….but think about it..the best the
republicans can do is to run an 82 year old 19 term incumbant in a landslide year…
It is about time. Bye Bye
Jeff Klein will be the next majority leader.
Klein will be great for yonkers…since it is
part of his district..maybe now we can get the
school aid formula changed….no excuses for
andrea if the two of them can’t get it done
Personally, I can’t stand any of them in Albany. However, one-party rule is terrible, no matter which party it is.
Try the democrats for a while. Let’s see how they do
Uncle Vinny what will you do. No staff & member item money.
Ha. Ha. Ha. Ha
whoops..I spoke to soon…klein has taken himself out
of the running for the leadership..but you raise a good
point about vinny leibel…he made a huge mistake
taking on greg ball particularly if he is not going
to be in the majority ….he may be vulnerable next
time out
Good Bye Vinny Leibel. It is time someone new goes into that position. Greg Ball can’t win that seat. The question is who will challenge him on both lines.