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Hall pollster calls Ball’s poll misleading

November
18

An update of sorts – Remember the poll publicized by Republican state Assemblyman Greg Ball’s Congressional campaign, the one that had him within five points of U.S. Rep. John Hall? According to an update in Roll Call, the poll didn’t sample the entire Congressional district and oversampled Putnam County, Ball’s home base.

Such a practice is uncommon, according to Hall’s campaign.

“The Ball campaign has intentionally misled people with a poll that is not districtwide,” Hall campaign pollster Jef Pollock of Global Strategy Group said in an e-mail to Roll Call. “In all my years of polling, I can’t recall an incident where a person did a poll in only of PART of the district and attempted to call it valid.”

The entire update is after the break.Ball Campaign Poll Didn’t Sample Entire N.Y. District
Nov. 17, 2009, 4:02 p.m.
By Emily Cadei
Roll Call Staff

An internal poll released this week by New York Assemblyman Greg Ball’s® campaign that showed him in a competitive position in his challenge to Rep. John Hall (D) did not represent a cross section of voters from the entire 19th district but rather two-thirds of the district — Westchester, Putnam and Dutchess counties, in the east.
The poll excluded Orange County and the portion of Rockland County in the district. Hall defeated challenger Kieran Michael Lalor (R ) by about 8,000 votes in that western segment of the district in 2008. The poll also oversampled Putnam County, which accounts for about 15 percent of the district’s voters but accounted for 33 percent in the poll. The survey undersampled Dutchess County and to a lesser degree Westchester County.
Hall’s campaign cried foul because it is uncommon for campaigns to release polls that aren’t a reflection of the entire district.
“The Ball campaign has intentionally misled people with a poll that is not districtwide,” Hall campaign pollster Jef Pollock of Global Strategy Group said in an e-mail. “In all my years of polling, I can’t recall an incident where a person did a poll in only of PART of the district and attempted to call it valid.”
Pollock also hypothesized that perhaps the reason the poll did not cover the entire Congressional district is because the questions related to the 19th district were added to a poll being conducted for another campaign, such as a state Senate candidate’s.
“I would hope that all [Federal Election Commission] laws were adhered to and this wasn’t an in kind contribution from a state poll,” he said.
Todd Vitale of Vitale & Associates, the firm that conducted the poll, said the Ball campaign commissioned it but chose to focus only on what he deemed the most historically competitive areas of the district out of a “desire to conserve resources at this stage of the campaign.”
“As the campaign progresses, we’ll do a more traditional poll,” he said.
Jim Coleman, a spokesman for Ball’s campaign, also defended the poll.
“We wanted to see where we stood and we specifically wanted to see how close the race was on the eastern side of the Hudson, because we consider that to be the toughest area,” Coleman said in an e-mail. “That said, these are just the early results of our first wave of polling, we should have more in depth analysis next week, and we are extremely encouraged.”

This entry was posted on Wednesday, November 18th, 2009 at 1:06 pm by Mike Risinit.
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5 Responses to “Hall pollster calls Ball’s poll misleading”

  1. Joan

    Just more of the same from from Greg Ball, bend the facts, lie, be disingenious, lie, more lies and more lies.

  2. Tester0291

    No suprise here. It’s just more of the same from Greg Ball. I honestly don’t think the man has an honest bone in his entire body.

    Ball has been called out in every single one of his campaigns for unfair campaign practices by the League of Women Voters. No other elected official has had as many complaints, nor as many rulings against them. That should not be overlooked by the public. The campaigns he ran, both for his own re-election bid and that which he orchestrated for his good pal and funny-money funneler Michael “DWI” Rights, were labeled by the editorial board of the Journal News as “campaign porn.”

    Ball is willing to lie to reporters. And he has. He’s willing to lie to the public. And he has. He’s willing to lie to anyone about anything in blind pursuit of higher office.

  3. no balls

    this is the mistake of an immature politician who is pathetically unprepared for this sort of race. republicans would be wise to consider heavily their support for someone like ball who will likely turn out to be a huge embarassment and albatross to the party. and if jim coleman is the only person ball can get to support him, that alone speaks volumes. coleman’s bio on ball’s website states that he lives in eastchester (not in the 19th last time i checked) and that he ran a “strong” campaign for state assembly. unoffical election results reveal coleman was clobbered 70/30.

    good luck greg!

  4. Anonimo

    It’s not just Hall’s campaign, either, I’d like to point out.

    http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/in_the_right/2009/11/when-a-poll-jumps-the-shark.html

    What were they thinking?

  5. "Don't Tell" Greg

    Is everything in Albany going so well that this …this is what Ball spends his time doing????

    I can’t believe we tax payers pay for him to spend all his time campaigning.

    He was just sworn-in to his 2nd term in January of this year and announced he was running for Congress in february. Give us a break. Do your job for a little bit before you ask for a promotion. Do SOMETHING – have at least SOMETHING to show for nearly 4 years in Albany before you ask for a promotion.

    Private industry wouldn’t promote a poor performer (failure) like Ball… why should the voters?

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