Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Cuomo has a 15 percentage point lead over Republican foe Carl Paladino, a Marist College poll today found.
Cuomo leads Paladino 53 percent to 38 percent among likely voters, the poll from the Poughkeepsie-base college found. Last week, Cuomo had a slightly larger lead, 52 percent to 31 percent, but that Marist poll included Rick Lazio, the Conservative Party candidate who garnered 9 percent in that poll.
“Cuomo continues to hold a double-digit lead, but the numbers have shifted somewhat following Lazio’s withdrawal from the race,” Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said.
Cuomo’s support remains strongest in New York City, with support from 70 percent of likely voters—up from 65 percent just a week ago, despite Paladino’s efforts to campaign in the Democratic-heavy city.
Yet, as expected, upstate and the suburbs is the battleground, the poll showed.
Cuomo leads 49 percent to 43 percent in the New York City suburbs, while Cuomo and Paladino are neck and neck upstate—despite Paladino’s ties being to western New York. He’s a Buffalo businessman; Cuomo lives in Mount Kisco, Westchester County.
Sixty-percent of registered voters have a favorable opinion of Cuomo, 48 percent of registered voters say they have an unfavorable impression of Carl Paladino. Thirty-four percent view Paladino favorably.
The poll of 943 registered voters was conducted Sept. 27-29 and had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points. Of those polls, 591 were considered likely voters. The results for that subset had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
Polls have shown wide swings in the governor’s race over the last week. A Siena College poll showed Cuomo up 57 percent to 24 percent, but a Quinnipiac poll showed him with only a six percentage point lead.