As he seeks a second term, Gov. Andrew Cuomo has the largest lead in the polls among states with governor’s races this year, according to an analysis published Thursday.
FiveThirtyEight on Thursday released its analysis of the 27 of the 30 states where the governor’s office is up for grabs this year. And Cuomo, a Democrat, came out on top—both in terms of his odds of winning and his lead in the polls.
The analysis looked at all of the public polls released in the governor’s races from January to June. FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten took an average of each pollster’s polls to figure out the average margin between the major candidates in each race.
In New York, the average poll showed Cuomo with a 36.6 percentage point lead over his Republican opponent, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino. The next-largest margin was in Tennessee, where polls have shown Republican Gov. Bill Haslam with an average 30-point lead.
Based on the polls and its own forecast, FiveThirtyEight put Cuomo’s re-election odds at nearly 100 percent.
Most recently, a Marist College poll last week showed Cuomo with a 35-point lead over Astorino.
(File photo by Tina Yee / Democrat and Chronicle)